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Circuit board materials and tiny capacitors shortage: Stage 1, Starting

Stage 1 · Starting

Glass cloth for chip boards (one maker holds about 90%) and MLCC capacitors. Prices up 30% to 140%.

What is short
Glass cloth for chip boards (one maker holds about 90%) and MLCC capacitors. Prices up 30% to 140%.
Fear holding it back
Most makers trade in Japan and Taiwan; US exposure is thin.
What could change it
New glass cloth capacity mid-2027 at the earliest.
What the stage means
Stage 1, Starting: supply is tight and prices just began to rise, but the stocks have not moved yet.

Six shortage signals

5/6
  • Prices rising: yes
  • Lead times over a year: yes
  • Sold out or long contracts: yes
  • New supply 18+ months away: yes
  • Stock below its high: yes
  • A dated catalyst: no

More signals means a tighter squeeze. How the signals work.

Stocks tied to this shortage

Stocks tied to these shortages, with stage, price on 30 Sep 2026, 12-month range, analyst target and what-if cases
TTMI
TTM Technologies
Stage 1 · Starting$122.80
$53.36 – $223.83
45%$203.00$165.31$46.25
VSH
Vishay
Stage 1 · Starting$32.46
Sep 29
$11.77 – $69.47
53%$40.00$123.23$55.00

Range bar: the dark tick is the price between the 12-month low (left) and high (right). The green tick is the analysts' average 12-month target, capped at the high. Good case uses that target. Bad case is a 2022-style slump: a 25% market drop scaled by the stock's beta (floor 0.5; 2.5 where beta is missing). Event stocks use an "event fails" estimate. These are what-if numbers, not predictions.

Dates to watch

Mid-2027First new glass cloth capacity for chip boardsTTMI

Questions

What is short in circuit board materials and tiny capacitors?

Glass cloth for chip boards (one maker holds about 90%) and MLCC capacitors. Prices up 30% to 140%.

What stage is the circuit board materials and tiny capacitors shortage in?

Stage 1, Starting: supply is tight and prices just began to rise, but the stocks have not moved yet. It scores 5 of 6 shortage signals.

What is holding circuit board materials and tiny capacitors stocks back?

Most makers trade in Japan and Taiwan; US exposure is thin.

What could change the circuit board materials and tiny capacitors story?

New glass cloth capacity mid-2027 at the earliest.

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